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ENG England Southern Premier League Central · Fixture ·

Stratford Town vs Worcester City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.13 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw26%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Stratford TownWorcester City
Expected goals2.13Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 26% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Double chance1274.1%1.35
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 42% · No 58%Both teams scoreNo58%1.72
2.13 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapStratford Town winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stratford Town win35%2.862.5035.7%-0.7 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Worcester City win39%2.562.3038.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stratford Town0.90

Home share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals2.13Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Worcester City1.23

Away share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Stratford Town

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Worcester City

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
4
0.90
Expected goals
1.23
Stratford TownWorcester City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stratford Town signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Worcester City signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Stratford Town vs Worcester City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stratford Town win 35%,Draw 26%,Worcester City win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.13 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under