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POL Poland I Liga · Final ·

Stal Rzeszow vs Ruch Chorzow

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–1Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win24%
Draw25%
Away win51%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Stal RzeszowRuch Chorzow
Expected goals3.08Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners11.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 25% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stal Rzeszow win (24.3%)Double chanceX275.7%1.32
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.08 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
11.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stal Rzeszow win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Ruch Chorzow win51%1.961.7551%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stal Rzeszow1.26

Home share of expected goals 40.9%

Total expected goals3.08Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Ruch Chorzow1.82

Away share of expected goals 59.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Stal Rzeszow

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ruch Chorzow

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
51%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.26
Expected goals
1.82
Stal RzeszowRuch Chorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stal Rzeszow signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ruch Chorzow signalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Stal Rzeszow vs Ruch Chorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stal Rzeszow win 24%,Draw 25%,Ruch Chorzow win 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over