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NLD Netherlands Derde Divisie · Fixture ·

VVSB vs RKSV UDI '19

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–14.31 expected goals
Away form
Home win59%
Draw21%
Away win20%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win59% selection probability
Projected score3–1VVSBRKSV UDI '19
Expected goals4.31Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over80% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
59% / 21% / 20%Match resultHome win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes RKSV UDI '19 win (19.7%)Double chance1X80.3%1.25
Over 80% · Under 20%Goals 2.5Over80%1.25
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
4.31 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
VVSB win59%1.69
Draw21%4.76
RKSV UDI '19 win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VVSB2.98

Home share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals4.31Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 80% · Under 20%

RKSV UDI '191.33

Away share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

VVSB

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

RKSV UDI '19

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.98
Expected goals
1.33
VVSBRKSV UDI '19
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VVSB signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02RKSV UDI '19 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

VVSB vs RKSV UDI '19 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VVSB win 59%,Draw 21%,RKSV UDI '19 win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.31 · Over 2.5 80% · Current selection Over