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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Final ·

San Lorenzo (W) vs Racing Club (W)

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win34%
Draw30%
Away win36%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1San Lorenzo (W)Racing Club (W)
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 30% / 36%Match resultAway win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Double chance1270.5%1.42
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.00 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapRacing Club (W) winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Lorenzo (W) win34%2.942.7033.6%+0.4 pp
Draw30%3.333.1029.3%+0.7 pp
Racing Club (W) win36%2.782.4537.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Lorenzo (W)1.13

Home share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Racing Club (W)0.87

Away share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

San Lorenzo (W)

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Racing Club (W)

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.13
Expected goals
0.87
San Lorenzo (W)Racing Club (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Lorenzo (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Racing Club (W) signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

San Lorenzo (W) vs Racing Club (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Lorenzo (W) win 34%,Draw 30%,Racing Club (W) win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under