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ROU Romania Liga I · Fixture ·

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw27%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universitatea ClujPetrolul Ploiesti
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 27% / 19%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Petrolul Ploiesti win (19.2%)Double chance1X80.8%1.24
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
2.49 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapUniversitatea Cluj winDifference+1.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universitatea Cluj win54%1.851.7052.2%+1.8 pp
Draw27%3.703.2527.3%-0.3 pp
Petrolul Ploiesti win19%5.264.3320.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universitatea Cluj1.97

Home share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Petrolul Ploiesti0.52

Away share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Universitatea Cluj

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Petrolul Ploiesti

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.97
Expected goals
0.52
Universitatea ClujPetrolul Ploiesti
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universitatea Cluj signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Petrolul Ploiesti signalAway failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universitatea Cluj win 54%,Draw 27%,Petrolul Ploiesti win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under