Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 27% / 34%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
MTK Budapest win38%2.63
Draw27%3.70
Puskas Academy win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 52.1%
Total expected goals3.03Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%
Away share of expected goals 47.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchMTK Budapest
DWDDD
Played5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchPuskas Academy
LWLDW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Win probability excluding draw
34%7
Points from supplied form
71.58
Expected goals
1.45MTK BudapestPuskas Academy
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
MTK Budapest win 38%，Draw 27%，Puskas Academy win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.03 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over。