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HUN Hongrie - NB I · Round 2 ·

MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile38% selection probability
Projected score2–1MTK BudapestPuskas Academy
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 27% / 34%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Double chance1272.5%1.38
Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%Goals 2.5Plus de58%1.72
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
MTK Budapest win38%2.63
Nul27%3.70
Puskas Academy win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MTK Budapest1.58

Domicile share of expected goals 52.1%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 58% · Moins de 42%

Puskas Academy1.45

Extérieur share of expected goals 47.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

MTK Budapest

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Puskas Academy

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.45
MTK BudapestPuskas Academy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MTK Budapest signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puskas Academy signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MTK Budapest victoire 38%,Nul 27%,Puskas Academy victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Plus de 2.5 58% · Current selection Plus de