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INT Uganda Super 8 · Fixture ·

Maroons vs SC Villa

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw27%
Away win32%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MaroonsSC Villa
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0No corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 27% / 32%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Maroons win40%2.50
Draw27%3.70
SC Villa win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maroons1.30

Home share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

SC Villa1.13

Away share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Maroons

1.25pts / match
Played4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/4

Away-context · form sequence

SC Villa

2.00pts / match
Played4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.30
Expected goals
1.13
MaroonsSC Villa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maroons signalHome clean sheets: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Villa signalAway unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maroons vs SC Villa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maroons win 40%,Draw 27%,SC Villa win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under