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INT Uganda Super 8 · Match ·

Maroons vs SC Villa

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MaroonsSC Villa
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Non corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 27% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%Goals 2.5Moins de56%1.79
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNon corner projection
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Maroons win40%2.50
Nul27%3.70
SC Villa win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maroons1.30

Domicile share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%

SC Villa1.13

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Maroons

1.25pts / match
Joués4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/4

Extérieur-context · form sequence

SC Villa

2.00pts / match
Joués4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Points8

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.30
Expected goals
1.13
MaroonsSC Villa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maroons signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Villa signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maroons vs SC Villa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maroons victoire 40%,Nul 27%,SC Villa victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Plus de 2.5 44% · Current selection Moins de