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POL Poland IV Liga · Final ·

Obra Koscian vs LKS Goluchow

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–3Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win44%
Draw25%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Obra KoscianLKS Goluchow
Expected goals2.13Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 25% / 32%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Double chance1275.2%1.33
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.13 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
11.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapLKS Goluchow winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Obra Koscian win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Draw25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
LKS Goluchow win32%3.132.9030.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Obra Koscian0.96

Home share of expected goals 45.1%

Total expected goals2.13Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

LKS Goluchow1.17

Away share of expected goals 54.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Obra Koscian

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

LKS Goluchow

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.96
Expected goals
1.17
Obra KoscianLKS Goluchow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Obra Koscian signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02LKS Goluchow signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Obra Koscian vs LKS Goluchow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Obra Koscian win 44%,Draw 25%,LKS Goluchow win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.13 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under