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INT Czechia 4. Liga · Final ·

Karlovy Vary vs SK Ujezd Praha 4

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–1Forecast 2–2
Away form
Home win37%
Draw24%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Karlovy VarySK Ujezd Praha 4
Expected goals4.38Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over81% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 24% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Double chance1276.1%1.31
Over 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Over81%1.23
Yes 79% · No 21%Both teams scoreYes79%1.27
4.38 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Karlovy Vary win37%2.70
Draw24%4.17
SK Ujezd Praha 4 win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Karlovy Vary2.13

Home share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals4.38Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 81% · Under 19%

SK Ujezd Praha 42.25

Away share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 79% · No 21%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Karlovy Vary

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

SK Ujezd Praha 4

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
9
2.13
Expected goals
2.25
Karlovy VarySK Ujezd Praha 4
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Karlovy Vary signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Ujezd Praha 4 signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Karlovy Vary vs SK Ujezd Praha 4 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Karlovy Vary win 37%,Draw 24%,SK Ujezd Praha 4 win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.38 · Over 2.5 81% · Current selection Over