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SWE Sweden Superettan · Final ·

IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win39%
Draw27%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1IFK VarnamoLandskrona
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 27% / 34%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.44 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapLandskrona winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IFK Varnamo win39%2.562.2540%-1.0 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.3%-0.3 pp
Landskrona win34%2.942.7532.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Varnamo1.03

Home share of expected goals 42.2%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Landskrona1.41

Away share of expected goals 57.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

IFK Varnamo

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Landskrona

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
11
Points from supplied form
5
1.03
Expected goals
1.41
IFK VarnamoLandskrona
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Varnamo signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Landskrona signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Varnamo win 39%,Draw 27%,Landskrona win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under