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SWE Sweden Superettan · Final ·

IFK Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs FF

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–1Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win60%
Draw23%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win60% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK NorrkopingFalkenbergs FF
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 23% / 17%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Falkenbergs FF win (16.7%)Double chance1X83.3%1.20
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.52 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapIFK Norrkoping winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IFK Norrkoping win60%1.671.5059.9%+0.1 pp
Draw23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Falkenbergs FF win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Norrkoping1.86

Home share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Falkenbergs FF0.66

Away share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

IFK Norrkoping

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Falkenbergs FF

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.86
Expected goals
0.66
IFK NorrkopingFalkenbergs FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Norrkoping signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Falkenbergs FF signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IFK Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Norrkoping win 60%,Draw 23%,Falkenbergs FF win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under