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ENG England National League · Fixture ·

Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw25%
Away win32%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Harrogate TownSolihull Moors
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 25% / 32%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Harrogate Town win43%2.33
Draw25%4.00
Solihull Moors win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Harrogate Town1.57

Home share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Solihull Moors1.31

Away share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Harrogate Town

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Solihull Moors

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
0
Points from supplied form
8
1.57
Expected goals
1.31
Harrogate TownSolihull Moors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Harrogate Town signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Solihull Moors signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Harrogate Town win 43%,Draw 25%,Solihull Moors win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over