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FRA France Ligue 2 · Fixture ·

Guingamp vs Nantes

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw29%
Away win40%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1GuingampNantes
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 29% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Double chance1271.1%1.41
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.50 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guingamp win31%3.233.0030%
Draw29%3.453.1029%
Nantes win40%2.502.2040.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guingamp1.19

Home share of expected goals 47.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Nantes1.31

Away share of expected goals 52.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Guingamp

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Nantes

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.19
Expected goals
1.31
GuingampNantes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guingamp signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nantes signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Guingamp vs Nantes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guingamp win 31%,Draw 29%,Nantes win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under