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INT Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves · Final ·

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves vs San Lorenzo Reserves

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win35%
Draw30%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 35% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gimnasia Mendoza ReservesSan Lorenzo Reserves
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 30% / 35%Match resultHome win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Double chance1270.2%1.42
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.23 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapGimnasia Mendoza Reserves winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves win35%2.862.5035.8%-0.8 pp
Draw30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
San Lorenzo Reserves win35%2.862.6034.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves1.04

Home share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

San Lorenzo Reserves1.19

Away share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

San Lorenzo Reserves

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.04
Expected goals
1.19
Gimnasia Mendoza ReservesSan Lorenzo Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Lorenzo Reserves signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves vs San Lorenzo Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves win 35%,Draw 30%,San Lorenzo Reserves win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under