Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 27% / 32%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Double chance1273%1.37
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Yes 71% · No 29%Both teams scoreYes71%1.41
3.76 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensa y Justicia Reserves win41%2.442.2040.6%+0.4 pp
Draw27%3.703.2527.5%-0.5 pp
Belgrano Reserves win32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 57.7%
Total expected goals3.76Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%
Away share of expected goals 42.3%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 71% · No 29%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchDefensa y Justicia Reserves
LDDLD
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBelgrano Reserves
WWLDL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Win probability excluding draw
32%3
Points from supplied form
72.17
Expected goals
1.59Defensa y Justicia ReservesBelgrano Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Defensa y Justicia Reserves vs Belgrano Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Defensa y Justicia Reserves win 41%，Draw 27%，Belgrano Reserves win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.76 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over。