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SWE Sweden 1.div Norra · Fixture ·

IFK Stocksund vs Gefle IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.35 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw23%
Away win44%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score2–2IFK StocksundGefle IF
Expected goals4.35Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over81% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 23% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Double chance1276.6%1.31
Over 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Over81%1.23
Yes 79% · No 21%Both teams scoreYes79%1.27
4.35 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapIFK Stocksund winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IFK Stocksund win33%3.032.8032.2%+0.8 pp
Draw23%4.353.8023.7%-0.7 pp
Gefle IF win44%2.272.0544%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Stocksund2.06

Home share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals4.35Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 81% · Under 19%

Gefle IF2.29

Away share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 79% · No 21%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

IFK Stocksund

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gefle IF

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
6
2.06
Expected goals
2.29
IFK StocksundGefle IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Stocksund signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gefle IF signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IFK Stocksund vs Gefle IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Stocksund win 33%,Draw 23%,Gefle IF win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.35 · Over 2.5 81% · Current selection Over