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ENG England National League · Fixture ·

Gateshead vs Woking

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.79 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw27%
Away win46%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win46% selection probability
Projected score1–2GatesheadWoking
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 27% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gateshead win (26.7%)Double chanceX273.3%1.36
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.79 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Gateshead win27%3.70
Draw27%3.70
Woking win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gateshead1.08

Home share of expected goals 38.7%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Woking1.71

Away share of expected goals 61.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gateshead

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Woking

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.08
Expected goals
1.71
GatesheadWoking
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gateshead signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Woking signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Gateshead vs Woking FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gateshead win 27%,Draw 27%,Woking win 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over