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JPN Japan J2-League · Fixture ·

Fujieda MYFC vs Vegalta Sendai

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.98 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw28%
Away win45%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Fujieda MYFCVegalta Sendai
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 28% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fujieda MYFC win (27.3%)Double chanceX272.7%1.38
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
1.98 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapFujieda MYFC winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fujieda MYFC win27%3.703.4027.6%-0.6 pp
Draw28%3.573.4027.6%+0.4 pp
Vegalta Sendai win45%2.222.1044.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fujieda MYFC0.79

Home share of expected goals 39.9%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Vegalta Sendai1.19

Away share of expected goals 60.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Fujieda MYFC

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Vegalta Sendai

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
3
Points from supplied form
7
0.79
Expected goals
1.19
Fujieda MYFCVegalta Sendai
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fujieda MYFC signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vegalta Sendai signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Fujieda MYFC vs Vegalta Sendai FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fujieda MYFC win 27%,Draw 28%,Vegalta Sendai win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under