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INT Bulgaria Second League · Final ·

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs FK Fratria

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–2Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win20%
Draw26%
Away win54%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win54% selection probability
Projected score1–2Lokomotiv Gorna OryahovitsaFK Fratria
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
20% / 26% / 54%Match resultAway win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win (19.9%)Double chanceX280.1%1.25
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapFK Fratria winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win20%5.004.5020.1%-0.1 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.6%-0.6 pp
FK Fratria win54%1.851.7053.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0.85

Home share of expected goals 32.3%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

FK Fratria1.78

Away share of expected goals 67.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Fratria

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Win probability excluding draw
54%
4
Points from supplied form
5
0.85
Expected goals
1.78
Lokomotiv Gorna OryahovitsaFK Fratria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Fratria signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa vs FK Fratria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa win 20%,Draw 26%,FK Fratria win 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under