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CHE Switzerland Super League · Final ·

Lucerne vs FC Lausanne-Sport

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win47%
Draw25%
Away win28%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 47% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1LucerneFC Lausanne-Sport
Expected goals3.17Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 25% / 28%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Double chance1274.8%1.34
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.17 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lucerne win47%2.132.0047%
Draw25%4.003.7025.4%
FC Lausanne-Sport win28%3.573.4027.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lucerne1.78

Home share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals3.17Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

FC Lausanne-Sport1.39

Away share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lucerne

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Lausanne-Sport

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.78
Expected goals
1.39
LucerneFC Lausanne-Sport
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lucerne signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Lausanne-Sport signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lucerne vs FC Lausanne-Sport FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lucerne win 47%,Draw 25%,FC Lausanne-Sport win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over