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INT Czechia 4. Liga · Fixture ·

FC Kurim vs FC Chotebor

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.85 expected goals
Away form
Home win60%
Draw21%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win60% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC KurimFC Chotebor
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 21% / 19%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Chotebor win (18.9%)Double chance1X81.1%1.23
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.85 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFC Kurim winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Kurim win60%1.671.5358.7%+1.3 pp
Draw21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
FC Chotebor win19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kurim2.20

Home share of expected goals 77.2%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

FC Chotebor0.65

Away share of expected goals 22.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Kurim

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Chotebor

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
11
Points from supplied form
6
2.20
Expected goals
0.65
FC KurimFC Chotebor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kurim signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Chotebor signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FC Kurim vs FC Chotebor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kurim win 60%,Draw 21%,FC Chotebor win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over