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INT Sweden Cup Qualification · Final ·

FC Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–2Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win23%
Draw26%
Away win51%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win51% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC ArlandaOstersunds FK
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
23% / 26% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Arlanda win (22.6%)Double chanceX277.4%1.29
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.88 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arlanda win23%4.354.0022.3%
Draw26%3.853.4026.2%
Ostersunds FK win51%1.961.7351.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arlanda1.13

Home share of expected goals 39.2%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Ostersunds FK1.75

Away share of expected goals 60.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Arlanda

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ostersunds FK

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Win probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.13
Expected goals
1.75
FC ArlandaOstersunds FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arlanda signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ostersunds FK signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Arlanda vs Ostersunds FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arlanda win 23%,Draw 26%,Ostersunds FK win 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over