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ITA Coppa Italia · Final ·

Pisa vs Empoli

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–1Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win54%
Draw26%
Away win20%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 54% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1PisaEmpoli
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 26% / 20%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Empoli win (20%)Double chance1X80%1.25
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.64 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pisa win54%1.851.7553.9%
Draw26%3.853.6026.2%
Empoli win20%5.004.7519.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pisa1.69

Home share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Empoli0.95

Away share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Pisa

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Empoli

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.69
Expected goals
0.95
PisaEmpoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pisa signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Empoli signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Pisa vs Empoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pisa win 54%,Draw 26%,Empoli win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under