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SCO Scotland League One · Fixture ·

Ross County vs East Kilbride

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Away form
Home win60%
Draw22%
Away win18%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 60% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ross CountyEast Kilbride
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 22% / 18%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes East Kilbride win (17.5%)Double chance1X82.5%1.21
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.65 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ross County win60%1.671.4561.8%
Draw22%4.554.1021.9%
East Kilbride win18%5.565.5016.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ross County1.71

Home share of expected goals 64.5%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

East Kilbride0.94

Away share of expected goals 35.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ross County

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

East Kilbride

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.71
Expected goals
0.94
Ross CountyEast Kilbride
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ross County signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02East Kilbride signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ross County vs East Kilbride FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ross County win 60%,Draw 22%,East Kilbride win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under