Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 22% / 36%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.7%)Double chance1278.3%1.28
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
3.07 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Halifax win42%2.382.1541.9%—
Draw22%4.554.2021.4%—
Derby U21 win36%2.782.4536.7%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 53.1%
Total expected goals3.07Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 46.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchHalifax
LLWLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchDerby U21
LLDLD
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Win probability excluding draw
36%4
Points from supplied form
21.63
Expected goals
1.44HalifaxDerby U21
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Halifax vs Derby U21 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Halifax win 42%，Draw 22%，Derby U21 win 36%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.07 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。