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ARG Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Final ·

Leones de Rosario vs Defensores de Cambaceres

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win44%
Draw32%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Leones de RosarioDefensores de Cambaceres
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 32% / 24%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Defensores de Cambaceres win (24%)Double chance1X76%1.32
Over 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
1.91 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapLeones de Rosario winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leones de Rosario win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp
Draw32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Defensores de Cambaceres win24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leones de Rosario1.20

Home share of expected goals 62.8%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 30% · Under 70%

Defensores de Cambaceres0.71

Away share of expected goals 37.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Leones de Rosario

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Defensores de Cambaceres

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.20
Expected goals
0.71
Leones de RosarioDefensores de Cambaceres
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leones de Rosario signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensores de Cambaceres signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Leones de Rosario vs Defensores de Cambaceres FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leones de Rosario win 44%,Draw 32%,Defensores de Cambaceres win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Over 2.5 30% · Current selection Under