Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 23% / 32%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23%)Double chance1277%1.30
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.24 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Xerez CD win45%2.22
Draw23%4.35
CP Mijas win32%3.13
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.9%
Total expected goals3.24Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%
Away share of expected goals 45.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchXerez CD
DWWLD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchCP Mijas
L
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Win probability excluding draw
32%8
Points from supplied form
01.78
Expected goals
1.46Xerez CDCP Mijas
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Xerez CD vs CP Mijas FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Xerez CD win 45%，Draw 23%，CP Mijas win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.24 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over。