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USA USA USL Championship · Fixture ·

Rhode Island FC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.59 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw28%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Rhode Island FCColorado Switchbacks FC
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 28% / 25%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Colorado Switchbacks FC win (24.8%)Double chance1X75.2%1.33
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
2.59 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Rhode Island FC win47%2.13
Draw28%3.57
Colorado Switchbacks FC win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rhode Island FC1.65

Home share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Colorado Switchbacks FC0.94

Away share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Rhode Island FC

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Colorado Switchbacks FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.65
Expected goals
0.94
Rhode Island FCColorado Switchbacks FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rhode Island FC signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Colorado Switchbacks FC signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Rhode Island FC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rhode Island FC win 47%,Draw 28%,Colorado Switchbacks FC win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under