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INT Leagues Cup · Fixture ·

Chivas Guadalajara vs FC Dallas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Away form
Home win57%
Draw23%
Away win20%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Chivas GuadalajaraFC Dallas
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 23% / 20%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Dallas win (20.1%)Double chance1X79.9%1.25
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.69 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chivas Guadalajara win57%1.751.6257.9%
Draw23%4.354.2022.3%
FC Dallas win20%5.004.7519.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chivas Guadalajara1.73

Home share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

FC Dallas0.96

Away share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Chivas Guadalajara

2.00pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 2/2

Away-context · form sequence

FC Dallas

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.73
Expected goals
0.96
Chivas GuadalajaraFC Dallas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chivas Guadalajara signalHome unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Dallas signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Chivas Guadalajara vs FC Dallas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chivas Guadalajara win 57%,Draw 23%,FC Dallas win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over