Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 30% / 33%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Double chance1270.3%1.42
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapLusitano GC Evora winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitano GC Evora win37%2.702.3837.6%-0.6 pp
Draw30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
CD Mafra win33%3.032.7532.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 46.4%
Total expected goals2.48Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%
Away share of expected goals 53.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchLusitano GC Evora
DLLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchCD Mafra
DWLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Win probability excluding draw
33%7
Points from supplied form
71.15
Expected goals
1.33Lusitano GC EvoraCD Mafra
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Lusitano GC Evora vs CD Mafra FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lusitano GC Evora win 37%，Draw 30%，CD Mafra win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.48 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under。