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INT Türkiye Super Lig · Fixture ·

Gaziantep FK vs Caykur Rizespor

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw28%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score2–1Gaziantep FKCaykur Rizespor
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 28% / 34%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
2.95 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Gaziantep FK win38%2.63
Draw28%3.57
Caykur Rizespor win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gaziantep FK1.55

Home share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Caykur Rizespor1.40

Away share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gaziantep FK

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Caykur Rizespor

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.55
Expected goals
1.40
Gaziantep FKCaykur Rizespor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gaziantep FK signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Caykur Rizespor signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Gaziantep FK vs Caykur Rizespor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gaziantep FK win 38%,Draw 28%,Caykur Rizespor win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over