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INT Türkiye Super Lig · Fixture ·

Galatasaray vs Goztepe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw26%
Away win20%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1GalatasarayGoztepe
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 26% / 20%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Goztepe win (20.2%)Double chance1X79.8%1.25
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Galatasaray win54%1.85
Draw26%3.85
Goztepe win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Galatasaray2.00

Home share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Goztepe0.86

Away share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Galatasaray

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Goztepe

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
8
2.00
Expected goals
0.86
GalatasarayGoztepe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Galatasaray signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Goztepe signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Galatasaray vs Goztepe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Galatasaray win 54%,Draw 26%,Goztepe win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over