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ENG England Isthmian Premier Division · Fixture ·

Brentwood Town vs Burgess Hill Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–24.69 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw23%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score3–2Brentwood TownBurgess Hill Town
Expected goals4.69Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over85% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes81% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 23% / 32%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23%)Double chance1277%1.30
Over 85% · Under 15%Goals 2.5Over85%1.18
Yes 81% · No 19%Both teams scoreYes81%1.23
4.69 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Brentwood Town win45%2.22
Draw23%4.35
Burgess Hill Town win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Brentwood Town2.61

Home share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals4.69Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 85% · Under 15%

Burgess Hill Town2.08

Away share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 81% · No 19%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Brentwood Town

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Burgess Hill Town

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
12
2.61
Expected goals
2.08
Brentwood TownBurgess Hill Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Brentwood Town signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Burgess Hill Town signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Brentwood Town vs Burgess Hill Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Brentwood Town win 45%,Draw 23%,Burgess Hill Town win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.69 · Over 2.5 85% · Current selection Over