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INT Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves · Final ·

Barracas Central Reserves vs Tigre Reserves

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–3Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win34%
Draw34%
Away win32%
Full model forecastDrawTier A · 34% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDraw34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Barracas Central ReservesTigre Reserves
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under76% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 34% / 32%Match resultDraw34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tigre Reserves win (31.6%)Double chance1X68.4%1.46
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Yes 33% · No 67%Both teams scoreNo67%1.49
1.70 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Barracas Central Reserves win34%2.94
Draw34%2.94
Tigre Reserves win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barracas Central Reserves0.88

Home share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%

Tigre Reserves0.82

Away share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Barracas Central Reserves

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tigre Reserves

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
3
Points from supplied form
5
0.88
Expected goals
0.82
Barracas Central ReservesTigre Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barracas Central Reserves signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tigre Reserves signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Barracas Central Reserves vs Tigre Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Draw · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barracas Central Reserves win 34%,Draw 34%,Tigre Reserves win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under