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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Remo vs Atletico Mineiro

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw30%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win35% selection probability
Projected score1–1RemoAtletico Mineiro
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 30% / 34%Match resultHome win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.5%)Double chance1269.5%1.44
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Remo win35%2.862.7534.6%+0.4 pp
Draw30%3.333.1030.7%-0.7 pp
Atletico Mineiro win34%2.942.7534.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Remo1.37

Home share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Atletico Mineiro1.20

Away share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Remo

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Atletico Mineiro

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.37
Expected goals
1.20
RemoAtletico Mineiro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Remo signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Mineiro signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Remo vs Atletico Mineiro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Remo win 35%,Draw 30%,Atletico Mineiro win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under