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URY Uruguay Cup · Fixture ·

Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.49 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw31%
Away win41%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico Fenix MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 31% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Fenix Montevideo win (28%)Double chanceX272%1.39
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.49 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Fenix Montevideo win28%3.573.4026.8%
Draw31%3.232.8831.7%
Liverpool Montevideo win41%2.442.2041.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.16

Home share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Liverpool Montevideo1.33

Away share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalAway won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
0
Points from supplied form
9
1.16
Expected goals
1.33
Atletico Fenix MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Fenix Montevideo signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo signalAway clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Fenix Montevideo win 28%,Draw 31%,Liverpool Montevideo win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under