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Atletico Astorga vs Deportivo Fabril

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.25 expected goals
Away form
Home win19%
Draw21%
Away win60%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 60% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win60% selection probability
Projected score1–2Atletico AstorgaDeportivo Fabril
Expected goals3.25Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
19% / 21% / 60%Match resultAway win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Astorga win (19.2%)Double chanceX280.8%1.24
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.25 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
7.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Astorga win19%5.265.2517.1%
Draw21%4.764.5019.9%
Deportivo Fabril win60%1.671.4263.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Astorga1.30

Home share of expected goals 40%

Total expected goals3.25Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Deportivo Fabril1.95

Away share of expected goals 60%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Atletico Astorga

3.00pts / match
Played4Wins4Drawn0Losses0Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/4

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo Fabril

2.00pts / match
Played3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Win probability excluding draw
60%
12
Points from supplied form
6
1.30
Expected goals
1.95
Atletico AstorgaDeportivo Fabril
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Astorga signalHome unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Fabril signalHome clean sheets: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Atletico Astorga vs Deportivo Fabril FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Astorga win 19%,Draw 21%,Deportivo Fabril win 60%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over