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INT UEFA Conference League Qualifying · Fixture ·

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.74 expected goals
Away form
Home win19%
Draw22%
Away win59%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 59% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win59% selection probability
Projected score1–2Hapoel Tel AvivAtalanta
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
19% / 22% / 59%Match resultAway win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hapoel Tel Aviv win (18.7%)Double chanceX281.3%1.23
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hapoel Tel Aviv win19%5.265.5016.4%
Draw22%4.554.3320.9%
Atalanta win59%1.691.4462.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hapoel Tel Aviv1.07

Home share of expected goals 39.1%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Atalanta1.67

Away share of expected goals 60.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Hapoel Tel Aviv

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Atalanta

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Win probability excluding draw
59%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.07
Expected goals
1.67
Hapoel Tel AvivAtalanta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hapoel Tel Aviv signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atalanta signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hapoel Tel Aviv win 19%,Draw 22%,Atalanta win 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over