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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Fixture ·

Ankara Keciorengucu vs Umraniyespor

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Away form
Home win56%
Draw23%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ankara KeciorengucuUmraniyespor
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 23% / 21%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Umraniyespor win (20.8%)Double chance1X79.2%1.26
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.76 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapAnkara Keciorengucu winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ankara Keciorengucu win56%1.791.6255.5%+0.5 pp
Draw23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Umraniyespor win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ankara Keciorengucu1.94

Home share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Umraniyespor0.82

Away share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ankara Keciorengucu

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Umraniyespor

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.94
Expected goals
0.82
Ankara KeciorengucuUmraniyespor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ankara Keciorengucu signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Umraniyespor signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Ankara Keciorengucu vs Umraniyespor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ankara Keciorengucu win 56%,Draw 23%,Umraniyespor win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over