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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Final ·

Aldosivi vs Tigre

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win30%
Draw35%
Away win35%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 35% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win35% selection probability
Projected score1–1AldosiviTigre
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo71% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 35% / 35%Match resultAway win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aldosivi win (29.6%)Double chanceX270.4%1.42
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 29% · No 71%Both teams scoreNo71%1.41
1.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapTigre winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aldosivi win30%3.333.1030.5%-0.5 pp
Draw35%2.862.7035.1%-0.1 pp
Tigre win35%2.862.7534.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aldosivi0.58

Home share of expected goals 35.8%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%

Tigre1.04

Away share of expected goals 64.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 29% · No 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Aldosivi

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tigre

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
7
0.58
Expected goals
1.04
AldosiviTigre
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aldosivi signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tigre signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Aldosivi vs Tigre FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aldosivi win 30%,Draw 35%,Tigre win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under