Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 25% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Adelaide Comets win (21.9%)Double chanceX278.1%1.28
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
3.10 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Adelaide Comets win22%4.55
Draw25%4.00
Metrostars win53%1.89
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 32.6%
Total expected goals3.10Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%
Away share of expected goals 67.4%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAdelaide Comets
WLLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchMetrostars
DLLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
22%
Win probability excluding draw
53%4
Points from supplied form
71.01
Expected goals
2.09Adelaide CometsMetrostars
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Adelaide Comets vs Metrostars FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Adelaide Comets win 22%，Draw 25%，Metrostars win 53%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.10 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over。