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AUS Australie - South Australia Premier League · Match ·

Adelaide Comets vs Metrostars

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile22%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur53%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Adelaide CometsMetrostars
Expected goals3.10Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
22% / 25% / 53%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Adelaide Comets win (21.9%)Double chanceX278.1%1.28
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
3.10 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Adelaide Comets win22%4.55
Nul25%4.00
Metrostars win53%1.89

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adelaide Comets1.01

Domicile share of expected goals 32.6%

Total expected goals3.10Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%

Metrostars2.09

Extérieur share of expected goals 67.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Adelaide Comets

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Metrostars

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gagné probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.01
Expected goals
2.09
Adelaide CometsMetrostars
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adelaide Comets signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Metrostars signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Adelaide Comets vs Metrostars FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adelaide Comets victoire 22%,Nul 25%,Metrostars victoire 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de