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TZA Tanzanie - Premier League · Match ·

Pamba SC vs Simba Sports Club

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile13%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur63%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur63% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pamba SCSimba Sports Club
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon68% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
13% / 24% / 63%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pamba SC win (12.9%)Double chanceX287.1%1.15
Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%Goals 2.5Moins de68%1.47
Oui 32% · Non 68%Les deux équipes marquentNon68%1.47
1.99 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapSimba Sports Club winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pamba SC win13%7.697.0012.9%+0.1 pp
Nul24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp
Simba Sports Club win63%1.591.4263.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pamba SC0.53

Domicile share of expected goals 26.6%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%

Simba Sports Club1.46

Extérieur share of expected goals 73.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 32% · Non 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Pamba SC

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Simba Sports Club

3.00pts / match
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
13%
Gagné probability excluding draw
63%
2
Points from supplied form
15
0.53
Expected goals
1.46
Pamba SCSimba Sports Club
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pamba SC signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Simba Sports Club signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Pamba SC vs Simba Sports Club FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pamba SC victoire 13%,Nul 24%,Simba Sports Club victoire 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · Plus de 2.5 32% · Current selection Moins de