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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Match ·

AD Castro Daire vs AD Ovarense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile23%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur50%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur50% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Castro DaireAD Ovarense
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
23% / 26% / 50%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Castro Daire win (23.4%)Double chanceX276.6%1.31
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Castro Daire win23%4.354.2021.4%
Nul26%3.853.5025.7%
AD Ovarense win50%2.001.7052.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Castro Daire1.00

Domicile share of expected goals 42.4%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

AD Ovarense1.36

Extérieur share of expected goals 57.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AD Castro Daire

0.00pts / match
Joués0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNon recent signal

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AD Ovarense

0.00pts / match
Joués0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gagné probability excluding draw
50%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.00
Expected goals
1.36
AD Castro DaireAD Ovarense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Castro Daire signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Ovarense signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AD Castro Daire vs AD Ovarense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Castro Daire victoire 23%,Nul 26%,AD Ovarense victoire 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de