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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Match ·

AD Ponte da Barca vs AC Vila Mea

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile26%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur43%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur43% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Ponte da BarcaAC Vila Mea
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
26% / 31% / 43%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Ponte da Barca win (26.4%)Double chanceX273.6%1.36
Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%Goals 2.5Moins de59%1.69
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
2.33 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ponte da Barca win26%3.853.6024.7%
Nul31%3.232.8830.9%
AC Vila Mea win43%2.332.0044.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ponte da Barca1.07

Domicile share of expected goals 45.9%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%

AC Vila Mea1.26

Extérieur share of expected goals 54.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AD Ponte da Barca

0.00pts / match
Joués0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AC Vila Mea

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gagné probability excluding draw
43%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.07
Expected goals
1.26
AD Ponte da BarcaAC Vila Mea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ponte da Barca signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AC Vila Mea signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

AD Ponte da Barca vs AC Vila Mea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ponte da Barca victoire 26%,Nul 31%,AC Vila Mea victoire 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Plus de 2.5 41% · Current selection Moins de