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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Match ·

Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile41%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Felgueiras 1932Chaves
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
41% / 29% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Double chance1270.8%1.41
Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%Goals 2.5Moins de64%1.56
Oui 44% · Non 56%Les deux équipes marquentNon56%1.79
2.14 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapFelgueiras 1932 winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Felgueiras 1932 win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Nul29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Chaves win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Felgueiras 19321.10

Domicile share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%

Chaves1.04

Extérieur share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 44% · Non 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Felgueiras 1932

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Chaves

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.10
Expected goals
1.04
Felgueiras 1932Chaves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Felgueiras 1932 signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chaves signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Felgueiras 1932 victoire 41%,Nul 29%,Chaves victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Plus de 2.5 36% · Current selection Moins de