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MEX Mexique - Liga de Expansion · Match ·

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Jaiba Brava

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur27%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Mineros de ZacatecasJaiba Brava
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 25% / 27%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Double chance1274.8%1.34
Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%Goals 2.5Moins de52%1.92
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapMineros de Zacatecas winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mineros de Zacatecas win48%2.081.9048.6%-0.6 pp
Nul25%4.003.7025%0.0 pp
Jaiba Brava win27%3.703.5026.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mineros de Zacatecas1.40

Domicile share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 48% · Moins de 52%

Jaiba Brava1.18

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Mineros de Zacatecas

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Jaiba Brava

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
27%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.40
Expected goals
1.18
Mineros de ZacatecasJaiba Brava
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mineros de Zacatecas signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jaiba Brava signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Jaiba Brava FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mineros de Zacatecas victoire 48%,Nul 25%,Jaiba Brava victoire 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Plus de 2.5 48% · Current selection Moins de