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HUN Hongrie - NB I · Round 5 ·

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.29 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Debreceni VSCMTK Budapest
Expected goals3.29Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 26% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%Goals 2.5Plus de64%1.56
Oui 64% · Non 36%Les deux équipes marquentOui64%1.56
3.29 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Debreceni VSC win44%2.272.0543.7%+0.3 pp
Nul26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
MTK Budapest win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Debreceni VSC1.91

Domicile share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals3.29Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%

MTK Budapest1.38

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 64% · Non 36%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Debreceni VSC

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

MTK Budapest

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.91
Expected goals
1.38
Debreceni VSCMTK Budapest
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Debreceni VSC signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MTK Budapest signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Debreceni VSC victoire 44%,Nul 26%,MTK Budapest victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Plus de 2.5 64% · Current selection Plus de